"Blue" Dogs or Republicans?

>> Friday, September 24, 2010

A couple interesting SPSS outputs (of course I'm not revealing everything I have).

Among Democrats Elected in 2006 and 2008: Obama (D) %
Mean N Std. Deviation
Blue Dogs 47.42 24 6.114
Progressives 70.06 17 11.755
Total 56.8 41 14.294
  
2008 victory margin
Mean N Std. Deviation
Blue Dogs 55.88 24 4.599
Progressives 73.93 15 14.845
Total 62.82 39 13.157
 
Partisan Voting Index Scores Among Democrats Elected in 2006 and 2008
Mean N Std. Deviation
Blue Dogs 5.46 24 5.942
Progressives -16.12 17 11.973
Total -3.49 41 13.909
Cook PVI Scale - 40 (liberal) to + 40 (conservative)

For the not political nerds: These indices demonstrate that among NEW Blue Dogs (those elected in 2006 or 2008) 1) Obama lost their Congressional district compared to Progressive districts and 2) they barely won. The CPVI score is a good confirming variable. Also, check out that ideological cohesion (as measured by the sigma.) It's the stuff young polisci student's dreams are made of.

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